Analysis

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Commentary
Hold My Chai: Escalation and De-Escalation Scenarios in South Asia
March 1, 2019 | Hijab Shah, John Schaus

CSIS’s Hijab Shah and John Schaus analyze three different scenarios that could arise out of the current conflict between India and Pakistan and their potential implications for the United States.

Commentary
Give Peace a Chance, Just Not This Way
February 26, 2019 | John Schaus There is mounting analysis that President Trump and Kim Jong-un may announce a peace declaration this week in Hanoi, which would be a terrible gift in beautiful wrapping, argues CSIS fellow John Schaus, and could pose serious risks to enduring U.S.-South Korea relations.

Commentary
Bad Idea: Competing with China (without Knowing What Winning Looks Like)
December 21, 2018 | John Schaus Competing is not the problem. What is a problem is competing without a concept of what success in that competition would look like. If the United States is going to engage seriously in a competition with China, that effort will be long-term.

Interactive report
Zone Defense
November 27, 2018 | Kathleen H. Hicks, John Schaus

This new CSIS report highlights the major themes and points of tension discussed at the 2018 GSP Workshop. It also includes insightful findings and recommendations and offers initial policy prescriptions to advance U.S. competitiveness against gray zone challenges.

Critical Questions
Competing in the Gray Zone
October 24, 2018 | John Schaus
In a new CQ piece, Michael Matlaga and John Schaus from CSIS International Security Program explain the “gray zone” and the United States’ current readiness to compete in this space as it continues to face an array of challenges from adversaries.

Report
Unmanned Aerial Systems' Influences on Conflict Escalation Dynamics
August 2, 2018 | John Schaus, Kaitlyn Johnson

As more UAS operate in conflict areas, more incidents of attack or defense will involve said systems. This CSIS Brief details how escalation and deterrence dynamics change with the increasing use of UAS in conflict areas and examines several cases of how these dynamics might...


Report
What Works: Countering Gray Zone Coercion
July 16, 2018 | John Schaus, Kathleen H. Hicks, Heather A. Conley U.S. leadership in an era of gray zone competition will require more than the largest economy or strongest military. National security begins at home and the United States must reinvigorate confidence in its institutions, its leaders, and its policy approaches.

Commentary
The Limits of Good Strategy: The United States in the Asia Pacific in 2018
February 2, 2018 | John Schaus

The NSS and NDS demonstrate the administration is able to develop a blueprint for U.S. leadership in the world, but the administration needs to follow its own strategy.

Report
Meeting the China Challenge
January 29, 2018 | James Andrew Lewis, John J. Hamre, Matthew P. Goodman, Andrew Philip Hunter, Scott Kennedy, Scott Miller, John Schaus, Stephanie Segal The essays in this volume, written by a diverse group of CSIS scholars, address some of the key issues that currently vex the U.S.-China economic relationship.

Report
Formulating National Security Strategy
October 6, 2017 | Mark F. Cancian, Melissa Dalton, John Schaus, Colin McElhinny, Hijab Shah

Strategies are shaped by the processes that produce them. If designed well, a strategy formulation process enables decisionmakers to evaluate the political, security, and budgetary environments, identify choices for an organization, weigh risks, opportunities, and tradeoffs,...


Interactive
Unmanned Aerial Systems Military Incidents
August 7, 2017 | John Schaus, Kaitlyn Johnson
In Aerospace Security

This interactive map explores incidents involving unmanned aerial systems (UAS) in conflict areas.

Commentary
The Administration’s Good Week on Asia Policy
July 3, 2017 | John Schaus

Don’t call it a rebalance, but in just five days last week, the Trump administration made a statement about U.S. priorities and objectives in the Asia-Pacific. With four actions, the administration made clear that the United States will remain fully engaged in pursuing its...


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